Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -225 FAIR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +10 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -9.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -7.4 (-17.4) | 134.4 (-20.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -6.2 (-16.2) | 132.2 (-18.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -8.0 (-18.0) | 135.5 (-21.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -7.8 (-17.8) | 134.1 (-20.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | SIE 76 – 61 FAIR |
| Feb 28, 2026 | FAIR 72 – 58 SIE |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SIE 85 – 77 FAIR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | SIE 68 – 64 FAIR |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FAIR 88 – 64 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#150) | -4.6 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#140) | -1.09 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#139) | -1.46 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#137) | 0.459 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.