Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -225 IDHO +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -3.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -2.2 (+3.8) | 151.1 (-11.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -4.3 (+1.7) | 148.2 (-8.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -2.5 (+3.5) | 151.1 (-11.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -2.9 (+3.1) | 150.7 (-10.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNCO 76 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UNCO 91 – 83 IDHO |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UNCO 92 – 74 IDHO |
| Jan 24, 2025 | IDHO 77 – 76 UNCO |
| Feb 23, 2024 | UNCO 76 – 62 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-10 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#261) | -5.3 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#262) | -1.37 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#260) | -1.69 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#247) | 0.391 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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