Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | UML -150 BRY +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +19 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | UML -5.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -4.8 (+14.2) | 157.4 (+19.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -3.0 (+16.0) | 154.8 (+22.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -3.8 (+15.2) | 156.8 (+20.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -3.3 (+15.7) | 156.1 (+20.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UML 88 – 69 BRY |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UML 77 – 63 BRY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRY 79 – 78 UML |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BRY 85 – 62 UML |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UML 77 – 70 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 17-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#148) | -0.3 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#130) | 0.51 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#130) | 0.09 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#136) | 0.529 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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