Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -188 SAC +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +2 | 98 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -2.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (-30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -0.9 (+1.1) | 130.5 (-32.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -1.8 (+0.2) | 129.5 (-31.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -0.9 (+1.1) | 131.3 (-33.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -1.2 (+0.8) | 132.1 (-34.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#218) | -1.3 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#224) | 0.10 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#232) | 0.01 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#256) | 0.508 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 20.2% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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