Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | ODU -163 APP +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +14 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -5.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -4.7 (-18.7) | 134.9 (-4.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -4.5 (-18.5) | 133.2 (-3.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -4.5 (-18.5) | 133.6 (-3.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -4.7 (-18.7) | 134.1 (-4.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ODU 75 – 73 APP |
| Dec 31, 2025 | APP 81 – 73 ODU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ODU 61 – 56 APP |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ODU 78 – 77 APP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | APP 62 – 43 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#155) | -1.5 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#151) | -0.40 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#140) | -0.40 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#133) | 0.493 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.