Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -600 SCU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +19 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -14.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -11.3 (+7.7) | 136.4 (-1.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -11.4 (+7.6) | 134.1 (+0.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -12.1 (+6.9) | 135.5 (-0.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -11.3 (+7.7) | 137.7 (-2.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | SCU 76 – 71 SMC |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SMC 86 – 67 SCU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SCU 62 – 54 SMC |
| Feb 12, 2025 | SMC 73 – 64 SCU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SMC 67 – 54 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Home | 16-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.0 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#6) | 6.3 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#25) | 1.62 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.09 (#22) | 2.10 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#22) | 0.581 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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