Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +100 LAF +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +12 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -0.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -0.7 (+11.3) | 131.9 (-21.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -1.2 (+10.8) | 132.0 (-22.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.5 (+10.5) | 131.1 (-21.1) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.2 (+10.8) | 131.9 (-21.9) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#284) | -3.2 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#208) | -1.29 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#216) | -1.42 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.459 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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