If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Southland Conference · Montagne Center · January 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LAM -1.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Under
Money LAM +100 / UIW +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual UIW +6 134 Lost
Massey LAM -1.3 (-7.3) — —
Massey Totals — 142.4 (-8.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 50% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UIW -0.0 (-6.0) 143.8 (-9.8) 46% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LAM -0.6 (-6.6) 140.3 (-6.3) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LAM -0.6 (-6.6) 144.5 (-10.5) 50% ✓
Baseline ML LAM -0.4 (-6.4) 144.8 (-10.8) 50% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 UIW 72 – 60 LAM
Jan 11, 2026 LAM 63 – 51 UIW
Feb 25, 2025 UIW 73 – 61 LAM
Jan 7, 2025 LAM 72 – 58 UIW
Feb 13, 2024 UIW 76 – 67 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM UIW
Overall 9-22 12-19
Conference 5-13 6-12
Home 6-9 7-7
Away 2-12 3-12
Neutral 1-1 2-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.1 68.3
Avg Pts Against 75.9 75.1
Massey -15.4 (#355) -13.1 (#350)
Bradley-Terry -2.30 (#344) -2.11 (#338)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.42 (#355) -2.68 (#340)
RPI 0.361 (#354) 0.371 (#350)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM UIW
FG% 41.9% 42.0%
3PT% 27.7% 31.7%
REB / G 36.1 31.6
OREB / G 11.8 9.4
AST / TO 0.87 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.0% 47.2%
TOV% 21.6% 21.1%
ORB% 32.4% 27.2%
FT Rate 21.5% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 54.5%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 20.5%
DRB% 65.2% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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