Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | FDU -250 STO +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -5.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -4.4 (-15.4) | 149.9 (-20.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -3.4 (-14.4) | 147.2 (-18.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -3.8 (-14.8) | 149.1 (-20.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -4.4 (-15.4) | 150.5 (-21.5) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | FDU 74 – 58 STO |
| Jan 30, 2026 | STO 58 – 57 FDU |
| Mar 6, 2025 | FDU 71 – 56 STO |
| Feb 28, 2025 | FDU 82 – 69 STO |
| Jan 26, 2025 | FDU 65 – 54 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#304) | -9.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#280) | -1.48 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#285) | -2.09 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#292) | 0.445 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 17.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.