Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -163 CLE +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -0.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -0.4 (-7.6) | 144.2 (+17.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -0.8 (-7.2) | 143.7 (+18.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -0.1 (-7.9) | 144.1 (+17.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -0.1 (-8.1) | 145.4 (+16.6) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WRST 90 – 61 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2026 | WRST 102 – 90 CLE |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CLE 85 – 79 WRST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WRST 82 – 76 CLE |
| Dec 29, 2024 | CLE 78 – 64 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#217) | 1.3 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#249) | -0.02 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#234) | 0.11 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#266) | 0.490 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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