Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +170 YSU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +13 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -3.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (+4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.0 (+15.0) | 154.6 (+8.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -2.6 (+15.6) | 155.2 (+7.8) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -1.5 (+14.5) | 156.6 (+6.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.8 (+14.8) | 156.6 (+6.4) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | MILW 78 – 65 YSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MILW 65 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MILW 84 – 74 YSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MILW 79 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YSU 84 – 80 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#206) | 5.1 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#150) | 0.40 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#176) | 0.61 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#147) | 0.505 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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