What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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44–14 on winners spread MAE 9.1 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UAlbany @ Kentucky +23.0 135.0 90% 61–86 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Eastern Kentucky +14.8 139.0 88% 43–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ Northern Kentucky -1.7 146.8 56% 69–67 ✓
Troy @ Florida Atlantic +6.5 145.7 72% 83–78 ✗
Lafayette @ Rutgers +20.0 134.4 86% 53–51 ✗
South Dakota State @ Nevada -5.8 159.0 27% 102–75 ✓
Hofstra @ Richmond +6.1 150.0 76% 68–81 ✓
Coppin State @ Cleveland State +9.9 136.2 84% 62–65 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Georgia Tech +21.3 149.7 90% 70–85 ✓
Virginia @ Georgia +0.4 129.3 34% 65–55 ✗
Harvard @ Siena -6.5 140.4 55% 69–72 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Ohio +15.7 141.3 88% 59–73 ✓
Delaware @ App State -0.7 138.7 49% 75–68 ✓
UCLA @ Bellarmine -18.0 153.7 11% 75–62 ✓
Colorado State @ Northeastern -4.7 138.3 29% 71–61 ✓
Charleston @ Oklahoma State +17.7 151.7 87% 66–96 ✓
Belmont @ LSU +14.6 149.1 82% 53–83 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northern Arizona +7.1 152.3 65% 82–80 ✗
Long Beach State @ Missouri State +8.1 155.7 79% 66–92 ✓
Tarleton State @ North Dakota State +5.1 125.1 76% 53–54 ✓
Florida @ California -11.6 134.0 17% 80–60 ✓
Florida State @ Missouri -8.2 132.1 22% 81–58 ✓
Western Michigan @ Iowa — — — 61–109 —
The Citadel @ Duke +16.2 156.0 88% 81–107 ✓
Arkansas @ Kansas State -3.9 143.1 26% 72–64 ✓
Winthrop @ Washington State +16.2 155.2 89% 86–92 ✓
UC Riverside @ UTEP +7.0 133.9 73% 52–40 ✗
Kansas City @ Idaho State -5.1 126.2 26% 74–58 ✓
Wyoming @ Grand Canyon -1.4 131.4 31% 68–61 ✓
Morgan State @ San Francisco +14.8 147.5 88% 67–83 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Valparaiso -8.0 133.8 23% 70–78 ✗
George Mason @ Washington -9.5 145.3 26% 74–77 ✗
Providence @ Northwestern -0.1 141.5 39% 77–72 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Seattle U +11.2 147.1 87% 56–77 ✓
Chicago State @ Pacific +6.5 131.8 79% 58–74 ✓
Santa Clara @ TCU -1.2 144.6 41% 85–66 ✓
Gonzaga @ Central Michigan -22.5 151.0 11% 107–54 ✓
Utah Tech @ USC +27.0 154.9 91% 71–98 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Notre Dame -1.6 131.7 33% 62–59 ✓
Fresno State @ Pepperdine -1.9 134.5 39% 70–63 ✓
Vermont @ Evansville -8.9 130.4 20% 58–49 ✓
Wright State @ James Madison +5.5 144.3 75% 76–78 ✓
Southern Utah @ Yale +5.9 140.9 62% 88–85 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Rider -2.3 138.0 35% 60–54 ✓
App State @ Akron +0.1 120.0 49% 57–45 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Towson +6.9 139.8 81% 61–76 ✓
Texas A&M @ Butler -6.0 127.9 25% 57–50 ✓
Drexel @ Charlotte +0.7 139.8 53% 67–55 ✗
Long Beach State @ Murray State +7.2 141.9 76% 43–80 ✓
Milwaukee @ Bowling Green -1.1 146.4 52% 68–82 ✗
Bucknell @ Mercer +4.6 147.7 70% 68–78 ✓
Quinnipiac @ New Hampshire +9.7 139.8 82% 69–84 ✓
Wisconsin @ Houston +1.9 122.9 52% 65–63 ✗
Georgia @ Northwestern +6.5 137.6 74% 62–78 ✓
Oakland @ Rice -3.4 142.9 34% 76–73 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Liberty +5.2 125.3 75% 51–59 ✓
Tulane @ Toledo +3.8 146.5 68% 67–68 ✓
George Washington @ Kent State +5.4 134.7 65% 69–77 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Buffalo +7.0 151.9 71% 79–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.