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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
18–11 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
33 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
St. Bonaventure
@
Marquette
|
-0.9 | 142.4 | 43% | 70–54 | ✓ |
Utah
@
Tulsa
|
-9.8 | 134.5 | 23% | 72–58 | ✓ |
Louisiana
@
Indiana
|
— | — | — | 44–76 | — |
Northeastern
@
Southern Illinois
|
+0.1 | 122.3 | 53% | 59–47 | ✗ |
Missouri
@
SMU
|
+6.9 | 139.4 | 66% | 80–75 | ✗ |
Florida A&M
@
Miami
|
— | — | — | 59–86 | — |
New Mexico State
@
Indiana State
|
+1.4 | 139.7 | 54% | 80–66 | ✗ |
Michigan
@
Arizona
|
+6.5 | 147.1 | 73% | 62–80 | ✓ |
Northern Colorado
@
California Baptist
|
+4.1 | 140.0 | 80% | 70–74 | ✓ |
Wichita State
@
UNLV
|
-8.5 | 128.3 | 19% | 74–73 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Little Rock
|
-0.2 | 133.8 | 71% | 60–67 | ✗ |
Evansville
@
Rice
|
+6.8 | 133.6 | 78% | 104–109 | ✓ |
Charlotte
@
Toledo
|
+0.7 | 138.0 | 55% | 86–98 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
James Madison
|
— | — | — | 74–69 | — |
Bradley
@
Duquesne
|
+0.8 | 128.5 | 62% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Boston University
@
Sam Houston
|
-6.7 | 127.8 | 29% | 72–59 | ✓ |
Oakland
@
Vermont
|
-0.6 | 126.4 | 46% | 63–61 | ✓ |
Texas A&M
@
Wisconsin
|
+0.9 | 132.1 | 63% | 58–69 | ✓ |
Wright State
@
George Washington
|
-0.3 | 144.3 | 48% | 63–74 | ✗ |
Tulane
@
Drexel
|
+1.3 | 129.6 | 43% | 90–87 | ✗ |
Nicholls
@
Cal Poly
|
-8.0 | 123.6 | 23% | 75–72 | ✓ |
Northwestern State
@
UL Monroe
|
-0.4 | 143.5 | 38% | 66–96 | ✗ |
Brown
@
Colorado
|
+7.6 | 142.9 | 82% | 52–54 | ✓ |
Butler
@
Houston
|
+11.6 | 126.8 | 85% | 52–70 | ✓ |
Fordham
@
Akron
|
— | — | — | 63–43 | — |
Idaho
@
Utah Valley
|
+15.3 | 154.0 | 85% | 45–83 | ✓ |
Murray State
@
East Tennessee State
|
-5.7 | 132.7 | 40% | 58–66 | ✗ |
Creighton
@
Southern Illinois
|
-3.9 | 130.3 | 33% | 66–64 | ✓ |
Seton Hall
@
Ohio State
|
-7.8 | 144.0 | 33% | 76–79 | ✗ |
Loyola Marymount
@
SMU
|
+11.0 | 142.0 | 76% | 76–70 | ✗ |
Illinois
@
Cincinnati
|
-5.6 | 133.7 | 31% | 51–71 | ✗ |
Cornell
@
Penn State
|
+2.0 | 145.2 | 67% | 74–85 | ✓ |
Sacred Heart
@
Stony Brook
|
+5.7 | 142.6 | 75% | 72–75 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.