Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +38 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -20.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -15.3 (+22.7) | 154.0 (-26.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -12.6 (+25.4) | 155.7 (-27.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -14.3 (+23.7) | 154.0 (-26.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -12.7 (+25.3) | 153.7 (-25.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 80.3 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#102) | -15.5 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#18) | -2.95 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.17 (#17) | -4.00 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#66) | 0.417 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 36.9% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 40.8% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 61.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.7% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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