Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | LR -150 NIU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NIU -3.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -0.2 (+7.2) | 133.8 (-6.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -2.0 (+9.0) | 134.3 (-7.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -1.9 (+8.9) | 134.4 (-7.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -0.8 (+7.8) | 134.8 (-7.8) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | NIU 98 – 93 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-19 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 6-7 | 3-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#339) | -7.8 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#291) | -0.05 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.56 (#338) | -0.11 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#309) | 0.510 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 33.8% |
| 3PT% | 19.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 19.0% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.9% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.