Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
| Money | UNLV +150 WICH -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +1 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -11.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+22.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -8.5 (+7.5) | 128.3 (+18.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -5.8 (+4.8) | 128.5 (+18.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -6.0 (+5.0) | 128.7 (+18.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -6.6 (+5.6) | 129.0 (+18.0) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#294) | 4.8 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#167) | 0.25 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#171) | 0.33 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#107) | 0.507 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.1% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 24.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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