I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
James Madison Dukes
69 – 74
FINAL Neutral Naples Invitational
Kent State Golden Flashes
Moe Kent Family Field House (Neutral) · November 22, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread JMU -1.0 Away covered
O/U 147.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total JMU win
Actual KENT +5 143 Lost
Massey JMU -0.2 (-5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 137.6 (+5.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML JMU -2.6 (-7.6) 139.1 (+3.9) 63% ✗
Baseline ML JMU -3.4 (-8.4) 136.0 (+7.0) 60% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JMU -0.2 (-5.2) 136.8 (+6.2) 54% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 10, 2023 JMU 113 – 108 KENT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JMU KENT
Overall 15-14 23-11
Conference 6-12 16-4
Home 9-6 11-4
Away 5-6 8-5
Neutral 1-2 4-2
Last 5 3-0 0-1
Streak L3 L2
Avg Pts For 72.1 69.8
Avg Pts Against 75.1 66.8
Massey 1.0 (#151) 0.8 (#155)
Bradley-Terry 3.96 (#1) -0.19 (#193)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.52 (#4) -0.20 (#187)
RPI 0.763 (#6) 0.708 (#13)
Shooting & Four Factors JMU KENT
FG% 39.4% 35.2%
3PT% 28.4% 36.4%
REB / G 40.0 29.0
OREB / G 12.0 8.0
AST / TO 0.62 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.3% 42.6%
TOV% 24.6% 19.8%
ORB% 32.1% 22.2%
FT Rate 22.8% 24.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 45.2%
Opp TOV% 25.5% 23.4%
DRB% 73.0% 51.2%
Opp FT Rate 15.1% 27.4%

Game Analysis

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