Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–15 on winners spread MAE 10.2 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Bucknell @ Illinois State +7.2 155.2 79% 100–105 ✓
Western Carolina @ American University +0.0 148.4 43% 80–79 ✗
Tulsa @ Rhode Island +6.8 133.6 61% 77–71 ✗
UAlbany @ Eastern Kentucky +11.7 139.7 85% 64–77 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Alabama State +2.9 146.0 58% 74–80 ✓
Western Illinois @ DePaul — — — 80–84 —
Winthrop @ Vanderbilt +10.5 148.6 83% 63–77 ✓
Morgan State @ Portland +4.9 149.4 78% 63–74 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart -4.8 146.3 44% 71–61 ✓
Iona @ North Alabama -7.5 132.7 21% 81–65 ✓
Pepperdine @ UC Irvine +10.9 132.4 79% 48–82 ✓
Omaha @ Montana +3.4 137.5 65% 47–68 ✓
UC San Diego @ Sacramento State -3.4 137.6 41% 71–56 ✓
UT Arlington @ San Diego State +21.2 129.2 90% 62–68 ✓
Texas State @ Eastern Washington -1.6 142.7 40% 81–74 ✓
Temple @ Elon -2.8 132.1 31% 75–58 ✓
Green Bay @ Weber State +12.8 134.6 84% 58–68 ✓
Bryant @ Holy Cross -2.8 146.1 33% 78–62 ✓
Norfolk State @ Xavier +8.3 136.4 79% 48–88 ✓
Boston University @ Northern Illinois -10.4 126.2 16% 76–58 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Old Dominion -0.7 131.8 51% 71–63 ✓
Villanova @ Purdue -0.4 148.4 49% 74–80 ✗
Boise State @ Ole Miss -2.0 132.1 37% 60–50 ✓
St. Thomas @ SIU Edwardsville -4.7 143.0 25% 86–73 ✓
Georgia State @ High Point -4.4 142.6 28% 74–66 ✓
UT Martin @ North Dakota +0.6 141.7 51% 77–72 ✗
Ball State @ Massachusetts +4.0 151.3 63% 89–86 ✗
Air Force @ Bethune-Cookman -4.2 128.2 31% 73–65 ✓
Little Rock @ Sam Houston -3.0 135.3 34% 59–77 ✗
Utah State @ Oklahoma +3.1 144.4 52% 73–70 ✗
Tennessee State @ South Dakota — — — 66–83 —
Princeton @ Oregon State -0.7 138.8 50% 81–80 ✓
Navy @ Furman +10.3 142.0 78% 77–66 ✗
Alabama A&M @ UAB +17.3 149.0 89% 41–86 ✓
Morehead State @ Mississippi State +15.3 129.4 87% 46–66 ✓
Lamar @ Southern Miss +1.0 140.9 48% 75–82 ✓
Tennessee @ North Carolina -2.2 154.5 35% 89–72 ✓
Niagara @ Youngstown State +2.6 137.9 57% 58–53 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ UTSA +2.3 136.3 54% 77–58 ✗
Western Carolina @ Longwood +14.6 149.4 85% 64–53 ✗
Jackson State @ Marshall +6.1 142.4 74% 66–80 ✓
Southern @ Nebraska +4.6 147.3 75% 59–82 ✓
Merrimack @ Virginia Tech +19.2 126.7 86% 43–72 ✓
Houston Christian @ Denver +11.4 126.5 86% 61–74 ✓
Howard @ William & Mary -8.2 144.0 26% 82–76 ✓
Clemson @ West Virginia -1.4 134.0 51% 59–66 ✗
Boston College @ Rhode Island -0.4 128.7 48% 65–71 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Wofford +4.6 134.2 75% 52–70 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Florida International -0.7 125.0 49% 71–74 ✗
Florida State @ Loyola Marymount -5.9 136.6 22% 73–45 ✓
Colorado State @ Creighton +1.0 152.2 51% 95–81 ✗
Davidson @ East Carolina -1.1 137.9 45% 76–67 ✓
Grambling @ Iowa State +12.6 132.7 86% 47–82 ✓
Texas Southern @ NC State +8.7 135.7 83% 57–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.