Betting Lines
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -110 BOIS -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +10 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -1.1 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -2.0 (-8.0) | 132.1 (-22.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -1.3 (-8.7) | 137.7 (-27.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -0.4 (-9.6) | 138.5 (-28.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -2.7 (-7.3) | 137.8 (-27.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 61.0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#86) | 6.4 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#125) | 1.32 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#117) | 2.80 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#195) | 0.556 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 13.8% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 82.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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