Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | DEP -650 WIU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +4 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -12.7 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -15.2 (-11.2) | 155.4 (+8.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -15.6 (-11.6) | 158.9 (+5.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -12.0 (-8.0) | 154.8 (+9.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | DEP 86 – 74 WIU |
| Dec 24, 2020 | DEP 91 – 72 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#64) | 1.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#71) | 1.75 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#92) | 1.92 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.669 (#27) | 0.667 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 57.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.3 | 23.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 43.4% | 43.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 7.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 82.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 39.0% |
Game Analysis
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