Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | DEP -1200 WIU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -1.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -5.1 (+6.9) | 141.1 (+18.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -0.1 (+11.9) | 140.0 (+20.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -1.8 (+10.2) | 143.8 (+16.2) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2021 | DEP 84 – 80 WIU |
| Dec 24, 2020 | DEP 91 – 72 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#236) | 8.4 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#129) | 3.05 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#142) | 4.29 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#27) | 0.750 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 4.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 5.8% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 12.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 10.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.3% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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