Betting Lines
| Spread | UTSA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
| Money | UTSA -340 AMCC +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +19 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UTSA -0.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTSA -1.7 (-20.7) | 139.9 (-4.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTSA -2.3 (-21.3) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTSA -1.3 (-20.3) | 142.1 (-7.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTSA -1.3 (-20.3) | 142.2 (-7.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | AMCC 75 – 55 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#339) | -3.5 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#240) | 0.88 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#222) | 0.88 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#230) | 0.522 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.4% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 24.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.6% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 33.6% |
Game Analysis
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