Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -1400 SOU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -4.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -4.3 (+18.7) | 145.6 (-4.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -4.6 (+18.4) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -3.8 (+19.2) | 145.6 (-4.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -4.3 (+18.7) | 145.6 (-4.6) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2024 | NEB 77 – 43 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-12 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#281) | -2.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#298) | 0.38 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#272) | 0.37 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.358 (#314) | 0.515 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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