Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NEB -10000 SOU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +34 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -19.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -20.0 (+14.0) | 140.9 (-20.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -19.1 (+14.9) | 139.9 (-19.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -18.7 (+15.3) | 138.0 (-18.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -19.4 (+14.6) | 139.3 (-19.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2021 | NEB 82 – 59 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#46) | -3.4 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#25) | -0.41 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#29) | -0.90 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#16) | 0.523 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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