Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | UAB -4000 AAMU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +45 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -17.6 (+27.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-34.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -18.1 (+26.9) | 155.6 (-28.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -18.4 (+26.6) | 154.1 (-27.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -16.4 (+28.6) | 153.0 (-26.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -17.3 (+27.7) | 149.0 (-22.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | UAB 96 – 67 AAMU |
| Dec 14, 2023 | UAB 93 – 82 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#71) | -3.6 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#155) | -0.49 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#135) | -1.13 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#164) | 0.409 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 41.0% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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