Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | AAMU +600 UAB -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +11 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -4.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -4.5 (-6.5) | 152.2 (+22.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -4.0 (-7.0) | 152.6 (+22.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.4 (-6.6) | 151.9 (+23.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -6.8 (-4.2) | 152.8 (+22.2) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | UAB 96 – 67 AAMU |
| Nov 21, 2021 | UAB 86 – 41 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 12-5 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#354) | -4.5 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#298) | -0.60 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#302) | -1.18 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#321) | 0.466 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 23.2% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.57 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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