Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -4500 AAMU +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +29 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -19.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -17.1 (+11.9) | 154.0 (+9.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -16.7 (+12.3) | 155.6 (+7.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -16.5 (+12.5) | 154.3 (+8.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -19.1 (+9.9) | 154.1 (+8.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2023 | UAB 93 – 82 AAMU |
| Nov 21, 2021 | UAB 86 – 41 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-9 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#205) | -17.8 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#308) | -3.14 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#284) | -4.06 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#315) | 0.339 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 61.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 35.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.