Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | UNC +125 TENN -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +17 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -2.2 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -2.2 (-14.8) | 154.5 (+6.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -2.5 (-14.5) | 156.7 (+4.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -1.8 (-15.2) | 156.5 (+4.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -1.5 (-15.5) | 155.6 (+5.4) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2023 | UNC 100 – 92 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-10 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-0 |
| Away | 8-3 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#84) | 7.6 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#41) | -0.44 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#35) | -0.62 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.652 (#40) | 0.436 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 45.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 18.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 42.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.