Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +10 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | FAIR -3.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -4.8 (-5.2) | 146.3 (-14.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -2.6 (-7.4) | 148.6 (-16.6) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -1.9 (-8.1) | 149.3 (-17.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -2.9 (-7.1) | 147.2 (-15.2) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FAIR 78 – 68 SHU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FAIR 92 – 87 SHU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | SHU 71 – 58 FAIR |
| Mar 2, 2025 | SHU 83 – 62 FAIR |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SHU 77 – 71 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-15 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#283) | 5.4 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#237) | -0.56 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#271) | -0.41 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#194) | 0.497 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 39.6% |
Game Analysis
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