Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +17 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -1.9 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.8 (-14.2) | 132.1 (+0.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -2.6 (-14.4) | 136.6 (-3.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.6 (-14.4) | 136.2 (-3.2) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -3.3 (-13.7) | 135.2 (-2.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#287) | -4.4 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#293) | -0.80 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#287) | -0.37 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#172) | 0.469 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.4% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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