Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TLSA +6 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -11.5 (-17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -6.8 (-12.8) | 133.6 (+14.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -7.1 (-13.1) | 135.7 (+12.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -7.0 (-13.0) | 134.4 (+13.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -5.2 (-11.2) | 131.4 (+16.6) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2025 | TLSA 82 – 65 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#106) | -7.4 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#70) | -1.20 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#62) | -1.40 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#82) | 0.411 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | TLSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 37.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.0% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 6.7% |
Game Analysis
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