Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -14.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -12.8 (-2.8) | 134.6 (-8.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -10.8 (-0.8) | 138.7 (-12.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -11.1 (-1.1) | 137.3 (-11.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -10.9 (-0.9) | 135.5 (-9.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-9 |
| Away | 8-5 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#54) | -7.5 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#20) | -2.63 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#25) | -3.38 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#53) | 0.352 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 35.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 41.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 18.4% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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