Marquette
Golden Eagles
54
–
70
FINAL
Neutral
Shriners Children's Charleston Classic
St. Bonaventure
Bonnies
Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +16 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -0.9 (-16.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -0.9 (-15.1) | 142.4 (-18.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -0.3 (-15.7) | 141.1 (-17.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.1 (-15.9) | 141.0 (-17.0) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -0.4 (-15.6) | 141.4 (-17.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 12-5 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#71) | 5.2 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#7) | 3.15 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.35 (#5) | 5.07 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.705 (#16) | 0.604 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.1% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 42.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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