Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -10.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -5.5 (+12.5) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -6.5 (+11.5) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -5.6 (+12.4) | 148.3 (-6.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -5.1 (+12.9) | 144.5 (-2.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 5, 2026 | MICH 91 – 73 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 19.5 (#2) | 9.1 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#37) | 1.26 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#54) | 2.16 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.641 (#37) | 0.702 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 48.5 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 34.5% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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