Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | ARIZ -112 MICH -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +18 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -2.3 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -2.7 (-20.7) | 156.5 (+7.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ARIZ -0.6 (-18.6) | 158.0 (+6.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ARIZ -2.4 (-20.4) | 159.0 (+5.0) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -2.4 (-20.4) | 157.7 (+6.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2021 | ARIZ 80 – 62 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-3 | 37-3 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 19-1 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-1 | 11-0 |
| Neutral | 11-1 | 12-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W6 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 87.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 27.3 (#3) | 29.6 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.44 (#1) | 5.01 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.70 (#1) | 6.33 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.680 (#2) | 0.683 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 42.6 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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