Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -14.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -7.8 (+10.8) | 144.0 (+11.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -9.7 (+12.7) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -9.7 (+12.7) | 141.8 (+13.2) | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -10.1 (+13.1) | 145.6 (+9.4) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#73) | 20.3 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#99) | 3.57 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#93) | 5.10 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#70) | 0.708 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 44.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 33.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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