Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | STBK -325 SHU +265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -11.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -6.2 (-3.2) | 139.6 (+7.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -5.7 (-2.7) | 142.6 (+4.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -6.5 (-3.5) | 140.6 (+6.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -7.5 (-4.5) | 138.1 (+8.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2022 | STBK 71 – 64 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#239) | -7.4 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#191) | -1.68 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#180) | -2.65 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#130) | 0.401 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.42 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 17.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 8.3% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 8.4% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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