Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Island FCU Arena · December 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -0.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money STBK +100 / SHU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual STBK +7 135 Won
Massey SHU -2.8 (+9.8) — —
Massey Totals — 142.9 (-7.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 20% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 9% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SHU -3.8 (+10.8) 141.3 (-6.3) 32% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHU -1.7 (+8.7) 141.6 (-6.6) 43% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SHU -3.3 (+10.3) 137.9 (-2.9) 32% ✗
Baseline ML SHU -3.5 (+10.5) 139.8 (-4.8) 32% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 22, 2021 STBK 75 – 72 SHU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK SHU
Overall 11-22 16-17
Conference 6-12 8-8
Home 7-7 9-6
Away 3-13 7-11
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 61.5 69.8
Avg Pts Against 69.9 71.6
Massey -15.0 (#357) -6.9 (#294)
Bradley-Terry -3.45 (#355) -1.05 (#272)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.11 (#357) -1.66 (#283)
RPI 0.334 (#358) 0.413 (#305)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK SHU
FG% 37.8% 40.8%
3PT% 28.9% 28.9%
REB / G 31.1 35.5
OREB / G 5.7 10.2
AST / TO 0.69 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.9% 46.1%
TOV% 22.9% 17.6%
ORB% 16.9% 26.1%
FT Rate 22.7% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.3% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 13.7% 18.7%
DRB% 73.3% 68.9%
Opp FT Rate 17.6% 21.2%

Game Analysis

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