Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MIA -1400 FAMU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +27 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -8.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -10.7 (+16.3) | 140.9 (+4.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -8.3 (+18.7) | 140.3 (+4.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -7.0 (+20.0) | 141.3 (+3.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | MIA 87 – 61 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 10-2 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#170) | -0.7 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#109) | -0.53 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#130) | -0.77 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#113) | 0.500 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 24.5% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 25.8% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 44.6% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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