Betting Lines
| Spread | MIA -32.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MIA -10000 FAMU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIA +26 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MIA -27.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIA -22.3 (+3.7) | 131.2 (+16.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIA -23.5 (+2.5) | 131.7 (+16.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIA -19.3 (+6.7) | 132.2 (+15.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2021 | MIA 86 – 59 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-1 | 4-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 58.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#131) | -14.9 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#112) | -1.34 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#111) | -2.13 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#217) | 0.319 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIA | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 33.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 21.6% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 36.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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