I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
46–11 on winners spread MAE 11.0 100 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Army @ Duke — — — 56–82 —
Robert Morris @ Kentucky +4.4 140.3 67% 60–100 ✓
Niagara @ Ohio State +3.6 141.4 56% 74–84 ✓
Radford @ Virginia — — — 52–73 —
UNC Greensboro @ Northern Kentucky — — — 70–69 —
VMI @ Presbyterian — — — 72–73 —
Morehead State @ UAB +17.8 147.3 87% 71–85 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Middle Tennessee — — — 51–71 —
Wright State @ Marshall — — — 88–96 —
Charleston Southern @ Ole Miss — — — 68–93 —
South Carolina Upstate @ Charlotte +7.2 140.7 74% 64–76 ✓
American University @ William & Mary +3.8 144.4 70% 74–62 ✗
Pennsylvania @ George Mason +19.0 145.9 89% 66–87 ✓
Furman @ Louisville — — — 80–72 —
Wofford @ Clemson — — — 68–76 —
Holy Cross @ Boston College — — — 55–85 —
Marist @ Columbia +4.5 145.0 67% 82–67 ✗
Fordham @ Manhattan — — — 60–66 —
Canisius @ East Carolina +6.9 140.7 70% 71–83 ✓
Coppin State @ Rider +13.9 146.2 87% 69–81 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Indiana +3.0 135.0 48% 49–85 ✓
Jackson State @ Louisiana Tech +2.4 140.4 64% 68–70 ✓
Cornell @ Lafayette -3.0 148.8 35% 90–85 ✓
Lipscomb @ Charleston — — — 77–86 —
Western Carolina @ Wake Forest +11.1 145.2 81% 75–87 ✓
Stetson @ Georgia Tech — — — 52–77 —
Tarleton State @ Kansas +16.8 140.6 87% 62–88 ✓
South Dakota State @ Alabama +11.9 150.5 82% 88–104 ✓
Rice @ Houston +6.7 148.7 71% 46–79 ✓
UL Monroe @ Auburn +22.2 140.3 91% 65–93 ✓
Austin Peay @ Southern Illinois — — — 55–73 —
Louisiana @ Southern Miss — — — 66–45 —
Grambling @ Texas Tech +14.3 146.5 85% 62–88 ✓
Oakland @ Oklahoma State +15.9 136.0 86% 56–55 ✗
UTSA @ Oklahoma — — — 44–96 —
Green Bay @ Wisconsin +17.1 145.9 88% 34–72 ✓
High Point @ Northwestern — — — 60–95 —
Kansas City @ Iowa +17.5 152.4 87% 57–89 ✓
Oregon State @ Iowa State +9.9 149.9 79% 50–60 ✓
Texas State @ LSU +11.4 142.7 78% 59–84 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Saint Louis +19.2 147.5 89% 44–86 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Chicago State +8.0 148.0 75% 56–67 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Texas A&M +13.1 131.1 82% 80–81 ✓
Massachusetts @ Yale — — — 71–91 —
Indiana State @ Purdue +10.6 151.8 76% 67–92 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Baylor — — — 60–87 —
Sam Houston @ Nebraska — — — 65–74 —
New Hampshire @ Marquette — — — 70–75 —
Virginia Tech @ Navy +7.1 138.8 74% 77–57 ✗
Pittsburgh @ West Virginia +12.9 136.7 84% 59–74 ✓
Arkansas State @ Illinois — — — 53–92 —
Brown @ North Carolina — — — 87–94 —
Southern Utah @ Utah Tech — — — 76–83 —
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Arizona — — — 50–104 —
San Diego State @ BYU +7.4 135.0 68% 60–66 ✓
North Florida @ Grand Canyon +13.6 139.2 85% 51–65 ✓
Princeton @ South Carolina — — — 66–62 —
Seattle U @ Washington State +15.3 145.1 86% 61–79 ✓
San Diego @ Nevada — — — 75–68 —
Long Island University @ Fresno State — — — 60–84 —
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Colorado State +16.3 159.2 87% 71–91 ✓
Idaho State @ Pepperdine — — — 60–65 —
Texas Southern @ Saint Mary's +14.6 146.4 85% 58–67 ✓
SMU @ Oregon +7.7 146.6 74% 63–86 ✓
Stanford @ Santa Clara +7.7 141.2 75% 72–88 ✓
Villanova @ UCLA +7.6 149.7 76% 77–86 ✓
Coppin State @ UConn +26.5 150.1 91% 54–89 ✓
Georgia Southern @ South Florida +10.4 144.6 81% 53–41 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Notre Dame — — — 52–68 —
Omaha @ Ball State — — — 69–73 —
Southern @ Tulane +6.7 141.0 71% 73–70 ✗
UIC @ Valparaiso +0.8 133.3 49% 74–70 ✗
Air Force @ Tulsa +6.8 140.8 69% 59–58 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Joseph's +9.2 141.6 80% 60–80 ✓
UCF @ Miami +8.2 143.1 75% 95–89 ✗
Harvard @ Iona — — — 87–90 —
Vermont @ Maryland +3.0 140.9 52% 57–68 ✓
Mercer @ Winthrop — — — 85–88 —
Merrimack @ Rutgers +2.4 138.3 48% 35–48 ✓
Dartmouth @ Georgetown — — — 69–60 —
St. Thomas @ St. Francis Brooklyn +0.0 144.2 55% 91–73 ✗
Lamar @ Miami (OH) — — — 75–104 —
Colgate @ NC State +12.8 143.6 83% 74–77 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Loyola Chicago — — — 77–89 —
North Carolina A&T @ Jacksonville — — — 54–63 —
Hartford @ Army — — — 79–86 —
Gardner-Webb @ Arkansas +10.5 140.6 77% 69–86 ✓
Howard @ Bradley — — — 76–64 —
Old Dominion @ James Madison — — — 53–58 —
South Alabama @ Wichita State — — — 58–64 —
UAlbany @ La Salle +7.0 143.6 75% 64–67 ✓
Saint Peter's @ St. John's +18.2 148.3 88% 70–91 ✓
Norfolk State @ Tennessee State — — — 66–59 —
Evansville @ Belmont +4.2 139.8 69% 43–81 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Charleston +13.0 151.8 84% 72–79 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Jacksonville State +6.5 140.5 69% 47–70 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Dayton — — — 59–58 —
Central Michigan @ DePaul +11.4 148.9 80% 66–99 ✓
Youngstown State @ Southeast Missouri State +12.6 150.8 85% 97–79 ✗
New Mexico @ Colorado +6.4 159.9 73% 76–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.