And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Kohl Center · November 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -21.5 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Money WIS -2000 / GB +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual WIS +38 106 Won
Massey WIS -22.7 (+15.3) — —
Massey Totals — 146.2 (-40.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline ML WIS -21.3 (+16.7) 146.4 (-40.4) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -17.1 (+20.9) 145.9 (-39.9) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2022 WIS 56 – 45 GB
Dec 1, 2020 WIS 82 – 42 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS GB
Overall 25-8 5-25
Conference 15-5 4-16
Home 12-4 4-9
Away 9-2 1-13
Neutral 4-2 0-3
Last 5 1-0 0-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 61.2
Avg Pts Against 66.0 69.7
Massey 3.1 (#77) -5.9 (#255)
Bradley-Terry 0.34 (#120) -2.02 (#278)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.50 (#68) -2.72 (#277)
RPI — —
Shooting & Four Factors WIS GB
FG% 43.9% 45.5%
3PT% 45.5% 33.3%
REB / G 48.0 28.0
OREB / G 15.0 7.0
AST / TO 1.00 1.44
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.5% 52.3%
TOV% 16.8% 12.5%
ORB% 37.5% 20.0%
FT Rate 19.7% 12.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.7% 56.2%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 21.8%
DRB% 84.6% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 4.8% 32.1%

Game Analysis

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