And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Kohl Center · November 16, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -26.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money WIS -5000 / GB +2500
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual WIS +11 101 Won
Massey WIS -30.1 (-19.1) — —
Massey Totals — 126.7 (-25.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIS -26.2 (-15.2) 127.9 (-26.9) 91% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIS -23.5 (-12.5) 126.3 (-25.3) 90% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -20.7 (-9.7) 130.0 (-29.0) 90% ✓
Baseline ML WIS -29.1 (-18.1) 130.4 (-29.4) 91% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2021 WIS 72 – 34 GB
Dec 1, 2020 WIS 82 – 42 GB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS GB
Overall 20-15 3-29
Conference 9-11 2-18
Home 11-6 2-10
Away 6-6 1-17
Neutral 3-3 0-2
Last 5 2-0 0-2
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 65.3 59.3
Avg Pts Against 63.6 76.5
Massey 7.0 (#49) -13.1 (#352)
Bradley-Terry 1.86 (#27) -0.90 (#285)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.87 (#23) -1.34 (#292)
RPI 1.000 (#1) 0.444 (#226)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS GB
FG% 43.9% 38.7%
3PT% 37.0% 33.3%
REB / G 34.5 26.0
OREB / G 8.0 5.0
AST / TO 1.21 0.62
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 45.3%
TOV% 13.9% 21.5%
ORB% 21.9% 14.5%
FT Rate 24.6% 14.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 39.9% 67.2%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 18.4%
DRB% 77.9% 73.7%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 10.1%

Game Analysis

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