Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | CHST +450 SIUE -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +11 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | CHST -9.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -8.0 (+3.0) | 148.0 (-25.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -9.9 (+1.1) | 148.7 (-25.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#215) | 0.9 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#50) | -0.34 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#123) | -0.45 (#192) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 45.8% | 14.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.5% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 11.9% | 28.6% |
| ORB% | 13.3% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.0% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.7% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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