Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | LT -1600 JKST +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LT -12.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -2.4 (-0.4) | 140.4 (-2.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -4.4 (-2.4) | 139.3 (-1.3) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | LT 68 – 51 JKST |
| Dec 16, 2020 | LT 85 – 58 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#249) | -3.4 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#197) | -0.34 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#229) | -0.51 (#221) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 43.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 25.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 29.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 17.6% |
| FT Rate | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.2% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 28.4% |
| DRB% | 56.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.