Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -15.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | LT -1800 JKST +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +27 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LT -15.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -11.5 (+15.5) | 138.5 (+4.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -13.0 (+14.0) | 139.7 (+3.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -14.9 (+12.1) | 139.2 (+3.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | LT 68 – 51 JKST |
| Nov 13, 2021 | LT 70 – 68 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#191) | -11.3 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#152) | -1.34 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#174) | -2.31 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#163) | 0.431 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 32.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 38.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 30.9% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 59.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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