Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UAB -800 MORE +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -20.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -23.0 (-9.0) | 148.2 (+7.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -17.8 (-3.8) | 147.3 (+8.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2023 | UAB 77 – 59 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAB | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#61) | -3.1 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#105) | -0.34 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#63) | -0.50 (#218) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAB | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.3% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.50 | 0.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 8.1% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 43.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 8.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 8.7% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 5.8% |
Game Analysis
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