You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
Bartow Arena · March 19, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UAB -15.0 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money UAB -1400 / MORE +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total UAB win
Actual UAB +18 136 Won
Massey UAB -18.2 (-0.2) — —
Massey Totals — 142.9 (-6.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UAB -15.1 (+2.9) 143.6 (-7.6) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UAB -14.2 (+3.8) 143.0 (-7.0) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UAB -15.1 (+2.9) 144.3 (-8.3) 88% ✓
Baseline ML UAB -15.7 (+2.3) 144.3 (-8.3) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 13, 2021 UAB 85 – 71 MORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UAB MORE
Overall 29-10 22-12
Conference 14-6 14-4
Home 17-2 14-2
Away 7-5 8-9
Neutral 5-3 0-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 66.2
Avg Pts Against 70.7 68.2
Massey 10.1 (#48) -4.5 (#244)
Bradley-Terry 1.72 (#51) 0.02 (#168)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.10 (#52) -0.35 (#200)
RPI 0.561 (#61) 0.528 (#115)
Shooting & Four Factors UAB MORE
FG% 45.0% 42.4%
3PT% 36.3% 35.5%
REB / G 40.7 34.2
OREB / G 13.6 8.9
AST / TO 1.09 1.02
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 49.3%
TOV% 17.6% 18.7%
ORB% 36.1% 27.0%
FT Rate 26.5% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 19.9% 15.6%
DRB% 71.2% 75.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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