I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) · November 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RID -15.0 Away covered
O/U 156.0 Under
Money RID -1100 / COPP +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total RID win
Actual RID +12 150 Won
Massey RID -28.2 (-16.2) — —
Massey Totals — 147.5 (+2.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 95% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RID -13.9 (-1.9) 146.2 (+3.8) 87% ✓
Baseline ML RID -13.7 (-1.7) 144.2 (+5.8) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 26, 2025 COPP 68 – 65 RID
Nov 9, 2024 RID 64 – 53 COPP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RID COPP
Overall 14-19 9-23
Conference 8-12 6-8
Home 7-6 3-6
Away 4-11 4-16
Neutral 3-2 2-1
Last 5 0-1 0-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.3 66.9
Avg Pts Against 69.7 74.7
Massey 0.6 (#136) -13.9 (#289)
Bradley-Terry -0.34 (#215) -0.57 (#251)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.46 (#196) -0.86 (#259)
RPI — —
Shooting & Four Factors RID COPP
FG% 45.6% 31.9%
3PT% 12.5% 27.7%
REB / G 35.0 26.5
OREB / G 9.0 5.5
AST / TO 0.69 0.50
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.4% 37.5%
TOV% 19.9% 19.6%
ORB% 28.1% 12.9%
FT Rate 12.3% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 59.8%
Opp TOV% 11.1% 18.0%
DRB% 70.3% 57.5%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 15.5%

Game Analysis

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