Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +38 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -13.4 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -4.2 (+33.8) | 139.8 (-15.8) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -4.1 (+33.9) | 138.6 (-14.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BEL 98 – 64 EVAN |
| Dec 17, 2025 | BEL 83 – 78 EVAN |
| Feb 2, 2025 | EVAN 80 – 75 BEL |
| Jan 18, 2025 | BEL 85 – 82 EVAN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | BEL 83 – 66 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-16 |
| Home | 13-1 | 4-9 |
| Away | 10-5 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 58.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#139) | 0.9 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#166) | -0.04 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#194) | -0.06 (#149) |
| RPI | — | 0.312 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 14.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 82.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 12.6% |
Game Analysis
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